Texas (TX) housing market
Cold MarketStatewide monthly sale-market indicators for rental investors — not a substitute for local rent comps, taxes, or insurance, but a fast read on price level, pace, and negotiation pressure.
Data period: September 2026
Market snapshot
- Median sale price
- $329K
- Median days on market
- 68 days
- Months of supply
- 5.7
- Active inventory
- 181,812
- Homes sold
- 25,986
- Sale-to-list ratio
- 97.2%
- Listings with price drop
- 23.0%
- Data month
- September 2026
Pair this view with the rental property calculator, DSCR calculator, and cap rate calculator — or browse all calculators.
Rental Investor Snapshot
Labels below come from monthly sale-market indicators only. True cash flow requires local rent, taxes, insurance, vacancy, and expense assumptions — model those in the rental calculator, then sanity-check against sale-speed signals here.
- Market temperature
- Cooling
- Buyer leverage
- Medium
- Pricing signal vs. U.S. median
- Easier buy-in vs. U.S. median (price only)
- Investor fit (heuristic)
- Buy-in vs. U.S. · Negotiation · BRRRR
Watch-outs
- Slower sales (longer days on market) can mean more time to diligence — but also weaker demand.
- Elevated price cuts can signal negotiation room — verify condition, rents, and comps street-by-street.
Suggested next step: Run a rental property analysis with your own rent, financing, vacancy, and expense assumptions — then sanity-check against this market's sale-speed and negotiation signals.
Cold Market
Inventory is high and homes are sitting longer — a buyer's market.
Texas market summary
The Texas housing market is cooling down. As of September 2026, the median home sale price is $329K, down 0.9% year-over-year. Homes are spending a median of 68 days on the market, 1.5% longer than a year ago.
There are 181,812 homes for sale — 1.8% fewer than last year. With 5.7 months of supply, this is a balanced market. 40,004 new listings were added during this period, down 0.1% year-over-year.
Homes are selling for 97.2% of their list price on average, suggesting room for negotiation. 9.4% of homes sell above their asking price. 23.0% of listings have had a price drop.
Market Opportunity Score
Based on current market conditions
73
Contributing Factors
How This Market Compares
vs. National Median
Investor takeaway
The cooling market may present buying opportunities with less competition and more negotiating leverage. High inventory relative to sales pace means buyers have options and sellers may be flexible on price. A significant share of sellers are cutting prices, which can signal motivated sellers and potential deals. Prices are 16% below the national median on this sale snapshot — that can mean lower buy-in, but cash flow still depends on local rent, financing, and expenses.
Texas market trends
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Detailed market metrics
Median list price
$341K
Price per sq ft
$169
Sale-to-list ratio
97.2%
Months of supply
5.7
Sold above list
9.4%
Price drops
23.0%
New listings
40,004
↓ 0.1% YoY
Pending sales
30,222
Texas housing market FAQs
What is the median home price in Texas?
For the latest published month, the median sale price in Texas is $329K. Median means half of homes sold above that price and half below — it is a useful benchmark, not a rule for every listing.
Is Texas a buyer's or seller's market?
With about 5.7 months of supply, the market is often closer to balanced — neither extreme scarcity nor extreme surplus.
How long do homes stay on the market in Texas?
For the latest published month, the median days on market in Texas is 68 days — half of homes went pending faster and half slower.
Is Texas good for rental property investors?
Sale-market stats show how competitive buying is (speed, negotiation, inventory). They do not prove rent performance. Texas can still work for rentals if the numbers work on a deal-by-deal basis — use local rent comps, financing, vacancy, and expenses in the rental property calculator.
How should investors analyze a rental property in Texas?
Start with purchase price, financing, rent, vacancy, operating expenses, and capital repairs. Stress-test rates and rent. Will It Flow’s rental property calculator is built to translate those inputs into cash flow, DSCR, cap rate, and cash-on-cash return for Texas deals.
Metro markets in Texas
Open a metro for the same investor snapshot and trends, then run a shortlist through the DSCR calculator and cap rate calculator.
More Texas housing market data
Compare how Texas fits nationally on the U.S. housing market overview, or browse the top 100 U.S. metro housing markets by sales activity.
New to underwriting? Read how much cash it takes to buy a rental in 2026 — then stress-test assumptions in the calculators above.
Underwrite a Texas rental with real numbers
Cash flow, Cap Rate, DSCR, and cash-on-cash return — built for speed without skipping rigor.
Housing market data provided by Redfin, a national real estate brokerage. Not financial advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making investment decisions.